Last season, Man Utd finished third in the Premier League. However, according to Opta’s computer, the chance for the “Red Devils” to repeat that achievement is only 0.7%. The computer also predicts the chance for Man Utd to finish fourth this season is 1.4%. In total, Man Utd’s chance of finishing in the Top 4 is 2.1%.
When the Champions League implements a new format next year, the Premier League can win more participation spots. Therefore, fifth place in the Premier League this season can also qualify for the Champions League. However, according to the computer, the chance for Man Utd to win fifth place is only 4.9%.
Man Utd is likely to retain the current eighth position, with a 21.3% chance. But things could also be worse. Opta predicts that the risk of Man Utd ranking in the bottom half of the overall table is 14.9%.
In the 2013-2014 season, Man Utd finished in seventh place, their worst performance in Premier League history since 1992. That was the first season after former coach Alex Ferguson retired. David Moyes replaced Ferguson, but was sacked in the final weeks of the season.
In all competitions this season, Man Utd has lost eight out of 15 matches. Two of them were two losses with the same score of 0-3 at home, against Man City in the Premier League on October 29 and against Newcastle in the fourth round of the League Cup on November 1. Last season, in the League Cup final, Man Utd won 2-0 against Newcastle.
The crisis at Man Utd is putting pressure on coach Erik Ten Hag. On November 1, former player Gary Neville hinted that Ten Hag would be fired. Former player Paul Merson said that the Dutch coach has lost faith in his players and no longer has a voice in the dressing room.
In the next three matches, Man Utd will be away at Fulham in round 11 of the Premier League, away to Copenhagen in round four of the Champions League group stage, and host Luton Town in round 12 of the Premier League. If they do not achieve good results, Ten Hag is at risk of having to leave.